Scoring Impact

Where points come from & what changes the outcomes

📊 Impact🎛 Lab
Every skill-position point (2019–2025 (excl. 2020)) is decomposed by the scoring setting that produced it, then re-scored under alternate rules to see how many outcomes would actually change. Computed entirely from local box-score data — player points times the league scoring rules. Scenario team scores apply a per-player delta on top of the real matchup scores, so the baseline reproduces every actual result exactly.
Head to Head Points, 0.3 PPR 6-pt passing TD +0.3 / completion Whole-block yardage

Contribution Share by Position

Share of each position's total points driven by each scoring setting (active starts, all seasons). The bar shows positive scoring; penalties (interceptions, fumbles) appear as negatives in the table.

QB 29,672 total pts
Passing TD 34.2%Passing yards 32.3%Completion 22.8%Rushing TD 4.6%Other 6.1%
CodeScoring setting PointsShare
PTDPassing TD10,80034.2%
PY25Passing yards10,22032.3%
PCCompletion7,21022.8%
INTInterception thrown-1,522-4.8%
RTDRushing TD1,4524.6%
RY20Rushing yards6542.1%
P300300-399 yd passing game6332.0%
FUMLFumble lost-422-1.3%
PTD4040+ yd passing TD bonus2110.7%
2PC2pt passing conversion1400.4%
PTD5050+ yd passing TD bonus1180.4%
P400400+ yd passing game960.3%
RY100100-199 yd rushing game390.1%
2PR2pt rushing conversion260.1%
RETDReceiving TD120.0%
RTD4040+ yd rushing TD bonus40.0%
REY20Receiving yards-4-0.0%
RECReception20.0%
2PRE2pt receiving conversion20.0%
RTD5050+ yd rushing TD bonus10.0%
RB 21,097 total pts
Rushing TD 35.1%Rushing yards 31.9%Reception 9.7%Receiving TD 8.2%Receiving yards 7.4%100-199 yd rushing game 5.7%Other 2.0%
CodeScoring setting PointsShare
RTDRushing TD7,55435.1%
RY20Rushing yards6,87831.9%
RECReception2,0869.7%
RETDReceiving TD1,7768.2%
REY20Receiving yards1,5847.4%
RY100100-199 yd rushing game1,2365.7%
FUMLFumble lost-446-2.1%
RTD4040+ yd rushing TD bonus900.4%
2PR2pt rushing conversion760.4%
RTD5050+ yd rushing TD bonus640.3%
REY100100-199 yd receiving game450.2%
PTDPassing TD420.2%
RY200200+ yd rushing game300.1%
2PRE2pt receiving conversion280.1%
RETD4040+ yd receiving TD bonus260.1%
RETD5050+ yd receiving TD bonus160.1%
KRTDKickoff return TD60.0%
FTDFumble recovered for TD60.0%
INTInterception thrown-4-0.0%
PCCompletion30.0%
PY25Passing yards10.0%
WR 21,975 total pts
Receiving yards 36.9%Receiving TD 32.4%Reception 19.8%100-199 yd receiving game 7.5%Other 3.4%
CodeScoring setting PointsShare
REY20Receiving yards8,18736.9%
RETDReceiving TD7,17632.4%
RECReception4,40019.8%
REY100100-199 yd receiving game1,6597.5%
RTDRushing TD2401.1%
RETD4040+ yd receiving TD bonus1930.9%
FUMLFumble lost-182-0.8%
RETD5050+ yd receiving TD bonus1160.5%
2PRE2pt receiving conversion980.4%
REY200200+ yd receiving game390.2%
PTDPassing TD300.1%
INTInterception thrown-6-0.0%
KRTDKickoff return TD60.0%
PRTDPunt return TD60.0%
PCCompletion60.0%
PY25Passing yards50.0%
RY20Rushing yards-4-0.0%
RTD4040+ yd rushing TD bonus30.0%
2PC2pt passing conversion20.0%
PTD4040+ yd passing TD bonus10.0%
RTD5050+ yd rushing TD bonus10.0%
TE 5,626 total pts
Receiving yards 34.8%Receiving TD 34.4%Reception 23.1%100-199 yd receiving game 4.1%Other 3.5%
CodeScoring setting PointsShare
REY20Receiving yards1,97634.8%
RETDReceiving TD1,95634.4%
RECReception1,31423.1%
REY100100-199 yd receiving game2344.1%
RTDRushing TD781.4%
2PRE2pt receiving conversion561.0%
FUMLFumble lost-52-0.9%
RETD4040+ yd receiving TD bonus130.2%
PTDPassing TD120.2%
RY20Rushing yards110.2%
RETD5050+ yd receiving TD bonus80.1%
FTDFumble recovered for TD60.1%
PY25Passing yards40.1%
RY100100-199 yd rushing game30.1%
PCCompletion20.0%
2PC2pt passing conversion20.0%
INTInterception thrown-2-0.0%
PTD4040+ yd passing TD bonus10.0%
PTD5050+ yd passing TD bonus10.0%
RTD4040+ yd rushing TD bonus10.0%
RTD5050+ yd rushing TD bonus10.0%

Scoring Sensitivity — What-If Scenarios

Each scenario changes one part of the scoreboard and re-scores every team-week. Games flipped = regular-season matchups whose winner changes; records changed = teams whose season W-L shifts; titles changed = championships that change hands (same bracket, re-scored final).

Scenario Avg pts / team-wk RS games flipped Records changed Titles changed
Standard 4-pt Passing TD
Passing TD 6 -> 4 (the ESPN/NFL default). Everything else unchanged.
-4.19 / 1236
0.7%
110
No Points Per Completion
Drop the unusual +0.3 per completion (PC 0.3 -> 0).
-6.68 / 1236
0.6%
130
Full PPR
Reception 0.3 -> 1.0 for all positions.
+16.134 / 1236
2.8%
300
Half PPR
Reception 0.3 -> 0.5 for all positions.
+4.66 / 1236
0.5%
90
Zero PPR (Standard)
Reception 0.3 -> 0 (no points per catch).
-6.911 / 1236
0.9%
161
TE Premium
TE receptions 0.3 -> 0.8; other positions unchanged.
+2.37 / 1236
0.6%
120
Fractional Yardage
Score yardage per single yard instead of whole blocks (pass 0.04/yd, rush & rec 0.05/yd).
+4.78 / 1236
0.6%
121
No Bonuses
Remove all yardage-game and long-TD bonuses (300/400 & 100/200 yard games, 40+/50+ yard TDs).
-5.617 / 1236
1.4%
280

Championships That Change Hands

Zero PPR (Standard)
2024 Championship
Sarah Ferguson David Freiberger
Sarah Ferguson 123.0 · David Freiberger 121.6 (actual)
under scenario: 112.8 · 114.1
Fractional Yardage
2024 Championship
Sarah Ferguson David Freiberger
Sarah Ferguson 123.0 · David Freiberger 121.6 (actual)
under scenario: 126.4 · 127.9